UAT Results

I finally have 21 games in NCAAF using all 3 formulas.... YppA, RRS, and PpP. Of the 21 games, there were 5 where it either rained, went to OT, or key injuries were involved. So, I removed those games to come up with 16 total games over the past two weeks. I know it is not a very big sample size, but here goes:

Of those 16 games, there were 10 where all 3 formulas agreed on taking the same team according to the spread.

In those 10 games, the formulas had a record of 7-3 against the spread.

In those 10 games, the RRS had a record of 2-8 against the O/U (terrible!!).

In those 10 games, the PpP had a record of 7-3 against the O/U (much better).

Of the 3 losses, 2 were big spreads of 17 or greater where the team that covered had a 14+ Strength of Schedule or Home Advantage rating.
If we remove those games, there are 8 left with a 7-1 record against the spread.
And of the 7 wins, there was one game that had a spread of 17 or greater and a Strength of Schedule and Home Advantage around 12....so I will remove that one as well.

That puts us at 6-1 in the 7 remaining games against the spread.

All 3 of the games we removed for Sos or Home Advantage hit the O/U so removing those would put our O/U record at 4-3....(not as good, but could just keep those included if considering O/U).

So, if I had time to run the numbers for all 50+ games every week; then I would be looking for games where there was no key injuries, no precipitation, no big spreads of 17+ favoring teams with high SoS or Home Advantage ratings ... and where all 3 of the calculations favored the same team against the spread. I will try it, but it takes me about an hour to enter 5 games into the Excel spreadsheet using the stats from TeamRankings. It would be terrific if I could get some help from some others and split it up. Let me know if you are interested and I will forward the spreadsheet I have already started so you can use it as a template.

UPDATE:

Ga. Tech covered last night at +12 vs UNC. All 3 formulas favored Ga. Tech so that brings us to 7-1 through 8 qualifying games.

man I use old school yellow note pad and #2:pencil no excel for dbott22

Hahaha! I use the yellow notepad too, but just to jot down the teams/players I want to bet according to the data analytics in the Excel sheet.

I'm going to try to get through about 10 games a day leading up to Saturday. I will let you know what I come up with on qualifying games so we can track them.

up to date im. 262-212-2 55% percent picking spreads on college football ive spent the last 3 years working hard on it I was very disciplined this weekend , betting games between -100 to 100 . only betting on games when 3/4 of my metrics hit , staying away from parleys

That is solid advice... I have been doing more single game bets against just the spread since tracking the calculations and it has been paying off.

i don't want to stay away from parleys I would love to hit it big just seem to lose EVERYTIME i play them wish i would just hit it once .