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YppA - Take Two

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Post by Admin Thu Oct 19, 2023 10:22 am

I come up with the following for Rice @ Tulsa:

Vegas spread: TULSA -3
Vegas O/U: 58

YppA Spread: RICE -6.1

RRS Spread: RICE -0.8
RRS O/U: 51.4

PpP Spread: TULSA -0.5
PpP O/U: 59.3

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Post by Admin Thu Oct 19, 2023 10:59 am

I come up with the following for James Madison @ Marshall:

Vegas spread: JMU -3.5
Vegas O/U: 49

YppA Spread: JMU -6.8

RRS Spread: MARSH -3.8
RRS O/U: 62.4

PpP Spread: EVEN
PpP O/U: 62.4
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Post by dbott22 Thu Oct 19, 2023 1:03 pm

i just feel Jax a hot team right now simple as that

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Post by Admin Thu Oct 19, 2023 1:22 pm

They have won 3 straight pretty easily including a road game in Buffalo. I like them too off the "paper record".
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Post by dbott22 Thu Oct 19, 2023 3:21 pm

ha " off paper " good one

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Post by dbott22 Thu Oct 19, 2023 3:22 pm

i think new Orleans averaging 4.4 per play. that dosnt scare me

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Post by dbott22 Thu Oct 19, 2023 3:26 pm

i got James madison -6 but...i feel strongly Marshall can cover +3.5 they been on road last 2 weeks they ready for home game. in a way i want to be proven wrong and James madison covers spread like my DB line says but with that it's only a 2.5 variance so I have marshall covering with a 1 t/0 advantage. every turnover worth 4-6 pts . I need marshall to win turnover battle by 1

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Post by Admin Thu Oct 19, 2023 3:58 pm

That makes sense on the T/O logic. Being at home should help, and the looks like some rain in the forecast for Huntington, WV.
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Post by Admin Thu Oct 19, 2023 4:22 pm

@dbott22, I am not trying to play Devil's Advocate here; but did you see the James Madison Rush Yds/G defensive stat on TeamRankings? They limit opposing teams to an amazing 1.4 Yds/Rush!! With the rain being imminent during that game, I would think that both teams might run more than usual ... Marshall defense allows a whopping 6 Yds/Rush per TeamRankings. And, if Marshall has to take to the air in the rain because they can't move the ball against the stout JMU run defense; then I would also think there is a better chance for JMU to record a INT and win turnover battle??? Although fumbles could be just as likely in rainy conditions.
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Post by dbott22 Thu Oct 19, 2023 6:29 pm

oh man that's in depth stats right there

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Post by dbott22 Thu Oct 19, 2023 6:32 pm

1.4 per rush...unbelivable

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Post by dbott22 Thu Oct 19, 2023 10:38 pm

James madison , my numbers were right . should have picked them good call on jm there run defense unreal

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Post by dbott22 Thu Oct 19, 2023 11:26 pm

marshall had - 4 yds rushing wow

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Post by dbott22 Thu Oct 19, 2023 11:36 pm

not only did james madison. win 20-9 , marshall git a kickoff return it could have been worse .

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Post by dbott22 Thu Oct 19, 2023 11:40 pm

did u see 0/u Minnesota - Iowa. 30.5 !!

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Post by dbott22 Thu Oct 19, 2023 11:41 pm

never seen a game that low

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Post by Admin Fri Oct 20, 2023 4:09 pm

That is crazy low. Gonna start crunching numbers for tomorrow in a few hours. Had a busy Friday.
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