TNF Discussion (Jax @ NO)

Here is what I come up with for each calculated method: It is kind of all over the board.

YppA (@dbott22)
NO -6.1

RRS
Spread: NO -0.8
O/U: 42.2

RRS (considering just Home vs Away)
Spread: JAX -6.49
O/U: 43.3

PpP
Spread: NO -1.8
O/U: 39

Weather:  In a dome

Key Injuries:
Trevor Lawrence -  is questionable with a sprained knee, but optimistic he'll be good in a short week.  They did sign Nathan Rourke off the practice squad to back up C.J. Beathard just in case.
Zay Jones - still out
Juwan Johnson - still out

Side notes: (some are logical but worth mentioning)

Jax passes 56% of their plays on the year, but only 50% on the road. They tend to run more on the road.
NO passes 58% of their plays on the year, but 63% at home. They tend to throw more at home.

Based on avg plays per game and NO rush defense, JAX should rush 27 times for 104 Yds. And, Lawrence and Etienne account for 598 of their team's 681 rushing yards (88%); and Lawrence rushes for about 20% of them. So with some quick and dirty approximations; I would say that leaves Lawrence with 20 yds, Etienne with 80 yds, and 4 yds left over... but with Lawrence's bum knee, I am thinking it might be a 10/90 split between him and Etienne. I guess what I am saying is I like Etienne at 70+ @ +100 in a close game, a QB with a bum knee, and no competition behind him to steal carries.