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11/6 - 11/12 Discussion

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Post by Admin Mon Nov 06, 2023 10:52 am

Warriors @ Pistons
Both teams are on the 2nd leg of a back-to-back. Pistons coach played his top 6 a full workload yesterday, so might only get about 30ish minutes out of them today (but they are a young group so maybe he let's them go 35 again tonight???). Warriors starters only played around 30 minutes tops so they should be ready to go a full game today. Warriors were 4-0 on the road before the Cavs took them out last night on the front end. Detroit might get Ivey and Burks returning in the backcourt today, but I look for Warriors to start up a new road win streak with a double digit win (122-107)

Spurs @ Pacers
San Antonio is on the 2nd leg of a back-to-back where they blew a 19 point halftime lead at home in the first leg!! Now they are on the road and their frontcourt played 37+ minutes last night.
This is their first B2B of the season so need to see what coach does with his youngsters in game 2 on the road. Devin Vassell did sit last night so hopefully he is good to go with his tweaked groin. The Pacers should be fresh, and they have been involved in a lot of high scoring games. Their home record is even at 2-2, and I look for them to get that above .500 tonight by beating San Antonio(124-117). I'm liking Haliburton over 38.5 PTS-REB-AST as well.
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Post by Admin Tue Nov 07, 2023 8:12 am

No NBA tonight ... boo!! Go vote and get back at it tomorrow. Everyone should be fresh and ready!!
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Post by Admin Tue Nov 07, 2023 8:21 am

Admin wrote:No NBA tonight ... boo!!  Go vote and get back at it tomorrow.  Everyone should be fresh and ready!!

FYI, last night I bet the only 3 games where the higher ranked team (according to TeamRankings) was playing at home.  I took the high ranked team and gave up the points.  I put them in a 2 of 3 round robin and all 3 hit.  The teams were Pacers, Sixers, and Nuggets.  I'm going to try it again tomorrow and see what happens.
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Post by Admin Wed Nov 08, 2023 8:44 am

Using the "higher ranked home team" rule from Monday night ... the following games qualify:

Nuggets -4
Mavericks -5.5
Timberwolves -7.5
Kings -7.5
Bucks -12
Knicks -10
Pacers -6.5 (they are on a b2b so might throw this one out)
Hornets -3

Take your pick, or bet them all; but remember it's a round-robin strategy ... not parlay!
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Post by Admin Wed Nov 08, 2023 9:04 am

After further review ... my favorite round-robin based on the above teams is a 3 of 4 with Nuggets, Mavs, T'Wolves, and Hornets.
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Post by Admin Wed Nov 08, 2023 4:03 pm

Watch out for Brandon Miller to break out tonight! Rozier is out and he might play some shooting guard.
His combo PTS_REB-AST is only 23.5 @ +100. I'm firing on it!!
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Post by Admin Thu Nov 09, 2023 8:47 am

Well, not so hot last night.....Miller was cold and only ended with 20 combo points....and the High Ranked Home team strategy went 3-5 which now puts the total at 6-5 over two days. No games qualify tonight so I will follow up with Friday's matchups tomorrow.
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Post by Admin Thu Nov 09, 2023 9:14 am

A lot of points to be scored in both games tonight. Might be a good player prop night.
Dejounte Murray has combo P/R/A at 31.5. He has tallied 35+ in each of his past 4 games.
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Post by Admin Sun Nov 12, 2023 9:02 am

Clippers haven't won since James Harden joined the team. I look for them to figure it out tonight at home against a bad Grizzlies team. Not sure it will be a blowout since LA has been playing slow; but it sure does have the potential.

Pacers and Sixers could put up 250 tonight if Philly let's Haliburton run and gun.

Bulls should win at home vs Pistons before they hit the road tomorrow. Jalen Duren is out.

Nuggets are down Jamal Murray and have been even more one-dimensional with a Jokic-only offense. I am really liking this new and improved Rockets team led by VanVleet. With Denver's known road woes, I am sniffing upset in Houston.

Another upset in San Antonio, but just a small one. Looks like Vegas adjusted the line for the absence of Butler and Herro and the fact that Miami is on the 2nd leg of a b2b.

T'Wolves have been playing lights out low scoring games, but Anthony Edwards is questionable with an illness so he won't be 100%; and the Warriors are desperate for a home win. Take the Warriors in this one.

Brogdon is out, and Lakers are at home. Take the Lakers.

Sabonis bullied Holmgren last game, and expect more of the same out of Nurkic tonight in Phoenix.
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