Week 8 Convo

I agree that the Iowa game O/U is low at 30.5, and the spread at Iowa -3.5 also seems low.

YppA Spread = Iowa -10.5

RRS Spread = Iowa -8.3
RRS O/U = 46.9

PpP Spread = Iowa -7.2
PpP O/U = 42.4

I do see that there is a chance for sustainable winds at 17-20MPH for most of the game, but no precipitation in Iowa City and both teams run 55% of their plays so wind should not have too much of an impact.  What else are we missing?

I see it....Iowa's starting TE, Erick All, is out for the season. He accounted for 30% of their receptions, 35% of their receiving yards, and 50% of their receiving TD's.

For tonight's SMU @ Temple game ... Vegas has SMU -23.5 and O/U = 53.5

The calculations are below:

YppA Spread = SMU -17.9

RRS Spread = SMU-8.4
RRS O/U = 51.2

PpP Spread = SMU -11.5
PpP O/U = 52.7

All of these direct the bettors to take the Temple +23.5

Just looked into that SMU @ Temple game a little further....Temple's starting QB was out with concussion last week and they got rolled by North Texas. He is "iffy" to play tonight so need to keep an eye on that.

Iowa games are always really low totals . i took temple i didn't know about QB

I teased the O/U to 59.5 and took the under mixed in with each of the 4 MLB teams playing last night to score 2+ runs.
I won, but it was just what you call 'gut'.

What are you liking today? I came up with the following games that I liked based on your calc.

UCF +17
Rutgers -6
N. Illinois -12
Pitt +1
North Texas +20
Hawaii -2
Utah St. +4
ODU +5.5
Miami Fla +3
USC -7

Also trying to figure something out to use that 50% profit boost on the Penn St @ Ohio St game

i kinda against profit boost ..I think you get site credit with win not real $$ . I got Ohio st in the Game lock of the week

we didn't talk about great pix rice was over Tulsa ..Vegas had Tulsa ,3.5 we both had rice i had rice-5.5 . they won easily

this week picking games is extremely tough. Vegas has so many spreads on the 6.5 or 3.5 or 16.5 that go against my picjs

n Texas at tulane .  tul -20.5 ?? i have tulane -8.5 wonder what I'm missing

12 pm picks ...ucf +17.5 , Rutgers -5.5 , Ohio st -4.5 , Cincinnati -5.5

2 pm. akron +7.5 il.monrie +16.5

330 pm Illinois +2.5 , neb -11.5 , tenny +8.5 lowa -4.5n Texas +20.5 ,  0/u 54.5 s Florida / uconn

I went with these 10:
UCF +17.5
Rutgers -6
North Texas +20.5
Northern Illinois -12
Pittsburgh +1
Hawaii -2.5
Old Dominion +6
Utah St +4
USC -6.5
Miami Fla +3

3-2 so far

Also had player prop on Ohio St with SGP for McCord 200+ Yds, Harrison 70+ Yds, and Stover 25+ Yds.
That hit for +126 odds.

Also hit +102 on ML parlay with Nebraska, N. Ill., Ohio, Oklahoma, and Oregon

Ended up 5-5 in the games I bet. Not great, but not a bad start to something that could be!
I am going to test it out in NFL Week 7 and see if it does any better.