Re: Mid Week games

by **Admin** Wed Oct 25, 2023 10:44 am

Based on last 3 games, I like Owens over 40+ rush yds at +135.

by dbott22 Wed Oct 25, 2023 2:36 pm

im liking Florida international +8.5. i have Jax +4 so thests 4.5 points right there. flor int has better offense plus they have more turnover so " according to regression to the mean " i will get into that later , honestly if flo int can stay at least even on turnovers no reason spread can't be covered

by dbott22 Wed Oct 25, 2023 2:39 pm

i actually love Jax st has a team and I'm thinking maybe not betting tonight but honestly flo int crosses all the t and dots all the i ..only thing holding me back is trusting a team that's #127;out of #133 in team rankings.com

by **Admin** Wed Oct 25, 2023 2:51 pm

If it's worth anything. The other calcs I've been following have FIU -1.1 and FIU +2.3 and FIU +3.
So, I agree that FIU seems to have the edge at home with all those points.

by **Admin** Thu Oct 26, 2023 9:08 am

@dbott22, did you ever try a case study using the Home/Away YppA calc. Instead of the avg Yds/Play total use the Home/Away specific avg since the season is underway?? I believe that would have had Jax St. -10.3 last night which would have won. However, it also would have had Sam Houston St -7 which would have lost.

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