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Week 7 Calcs

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Week 7 Calcs Empty Week 7 Calcs

Post by Admin Sun Oct 22, 2023 10:03 am

Based on the YppA, RRS, and PpP calcs.  
Here is what I come up with this week for the NFL trial.


Indy +3
Rams -3
Packers -1
Chiefs -5.5
Miami +3


Putting asterisks on these due to injuries:
Detroit +3 (but note that David Montgomery is out, and Reynolds is out so Gibbs might be on his own in the backfield)
Chicago +2.5 (but note that neither team's QB is playing, and Fields is a major contributor to the Bears offense on the ground)
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Post by Admin Mon Oct 23, 2023 8:12 am

Well, went 2-3 so not too good of a start. But, I'm not giving up on it. I will fine tune some things and then let you know.
Also, one of the 13MPH + games only had winds at 10-11MPH so that theory was 1-1 as well. Not a good week overall, but one thing I found was that player props based on the RRS were over 50% accurate. I will tell more about that next week.
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Post by Admin Mon Oct 23, 2023 9:10 am

Calc Records against the spread going into tonight's game:

YppA: 6-6
RPP: 4-8
PpP: 5-7

@dbott22, your calc had the best showing so far. Need Minnesota +7 to go over 0.500!!
The RPP had San Fran -7; and the PpP has Minnesota +7.
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Post by Admin Mon Oct 23, 2023 9:11 am

Calc records against O/U:

RRS: 5-7
PpP: 5-7

Brutal


Last edited by Admin on Mon Oct 23, 2023 9:42 am; edited 1 time in total
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Post by Admin Mon Oct 23, 2023 9:27 am

The RRS w/ Home vs Away consideration went 5-7 against the spread, and 6-6 on O/U.
I am going to keep an eye on that one as well. It would have negated a few of the picks that passed the other 3 calcs.

There were 4 games that passed all 4 calcs the same, and those games were 2-2. The winners were Chicago and KC; and the losers were Detroit and Miami.
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